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Publications tagged with: Probability 69
Authors | Title | ||
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Anderson,B.L., Gigerenzer,G., Parker,S., & Schulkin,J. (2014) | Statistical literacy in obstetricians and gynecologists | View... | |
Barrett,H.C. & Fiddick,L. (2000) | Evolution and risky decisions | View... | |
Berg,N. (2007) | Behavioural economics, business decision making and applied policy analysis: Introduction | ||
Bleichrodt,H., Kothiyal,A., Prelec,D., & Wakker,P.P. (2013) | Compound invariance implies prospect theory for simple prospects | View... | |
Bosnjak,M., Haas,I., Galesic,M., Kaczmirek,L., Bandilla,W., & Couper,M.P. (2013) | Sample composition discrepancies in different stages of a probability-based online panel | View... | |
Brandstätter,E., Gigerenzer,G., & Hertwig,R. (2006) | The priority heuristic: Making choices without trade-offs | View... | |
Chase,V.M., Hertwig,R., & Gigerenzer,G. (1998) | Visions of rationality | View... | |
Degond,P., Appert-Rolland,C., Moussaïd,M., Pettré,J., & Theraulaz,G. (2013) | A hierarchy of heuristic-based models of crowd dynamics | View... | |
Dieckmann,A. & Rieskamp,J. (2007) | The influence of information redundancy on probabilistic inferences | ||
Gaissmaier,W. & Schooler,L.J. (2008) | The smart potential behind probability matching | View... | |
Gaissmaier,W., Schooler,L.J., & Mata,R. (2008) | An ecological perspective to cognitive limits: Modeling environment-mind interactions with ACT-R | ||
Gaissmaier,W., Schooler,L.J., & Rieskamp,J. (2006) | Simple predictions fueled by capacity limitations: When are they successful? | ||
Galesic,M., García-Retamero,R., & Gigerenzer,G. (2009) | Using icon arrays to communicate medical risks: Overcoming low numeracy | View... | |
García-Retamero,R. & Rieskamp,J. (2009) | Do people treat missing information adaptively when making inferences? | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. (2001e) | Content-blind norms, no norms, or good norms? A reply to Vranas | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. (2004a) | Dread risk, September 11, and fatal traffic accidents | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. (2006f) | Out of the frying pan into the fire: Behavioral reactions to terrorist attacks | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. (2007d) | Helping physicians understand screening tests will improve health care | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. (2011f) | What are natural frequencies? Doctors need to find better ways to communicate risk to patients | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. (2014b) | How I got started: Teaching physicians and judges risk literacy | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. & Edwards,A. (2003) | Simple tools for understanding risks: From innumeracy to insight | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G., Gaissmaier,W., Kurz-Milcke,E., Schwartz,L.M., & Woloshin,S. (2007) | Helping doctors and patients make sense of health statistics | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. & Galesic,M. (2012) | Why do single event probabilities confuse patients? Statements of frequency are better for communicating risk | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G., Hertwig,R., Van den Broek,E.M., Fasolo,B., & Katsikopoulos,K.V. (2005) | A 30% chance of rain tomorrow: How does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts? | View... | |
Gigerenzer,G. & Hoffrage,U. (2007) | The role of representation in Bayesian reasoning: Correcting common misconceptions | View... | |
Goodie,A.S. & Fantino,E. (1999) | What does and does not alleviate base-rate neglect under direct experience | View... | |
Hanoch,Y. (2002b) | Natural frequencies and the representation of risk: Letter to the editor | ||
Hanoch,Y. (2004) | Improving doctor-patient understanding of probability in communicating cancer-screening test findings | View... | |
Hertwig,R. & Chase,V.M. (1998) | Many reasons or just one: How response mode affects reasoning in the conjunction problem | View... | |
Hertwig,R., Fanselow,C., & Hoffrage,U. (2003) | Hindsight bias: How knowledge and heuristics affect our reconstruction of the past | View... | |
Hertwig,R. & Gigerenzer,G. (1999) | The "conjunction fallacy" revisited: How intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors | View... | |
Hertwig,R. & Hoffrage,U. (2001a) | Eingeschränkte und ökologische Rationalität: Ein Forschungsprogramm [Bounded and ecological rationality: A research program] | View... | |
Hoffrage,U., Gigerenzer,G., Krauss,S., & Martignon,L. (2002) | Representation facilitates reasoning: What natural frequencies are and what they are not | View... | |
Hoffrage,U., Lindsey,S., Hertwig,R., & Gigerenzer,G. (2000) | Communicating statistical information | View... | |
Hutchinson,J.M. (2005) | Is more choice always desirable? Evidence and arguments from leks, food selection, and environmental enrichment | View... | |
Johnson,J.G. & Busemeyer,J.R. (2001) | Multi-stage decision making: The effect of planning horizon length on dynamic consistency | ||
Juslin,P., Karlsson,L., & Olsson,H. (2008) | Information integration in multiple cue judgment: A division of labor hypothesis | View... | |
Katsikopoulos,K.V. (2007) | (P, p) retraining policies | ||
Katsikopoulos,K.V., Egozcue,M., & Fuentes Garcia,L. (2014) | Cumulative dominance in multi-attribute choice: Benefits and limits | View... | |
Katsikopoulos,K.V. & Fasolo,B. (2006) | New tools for decision analysts | ||
Katsikopoulos,K.V. & Gigerenzer,G. (2008) | One-reason decision-making: Modeling violations of expected utility theory | View... | |
Katsikopoulos,K.V. & Lan,C.D. (2011) | Herbert Simon's spell on judgment and decision making | View... | |
Katsikopoulos,K.V. & Simsek,Ö. (2005) | Optimal doubling strategy against a suboptimal opponent | ||
Kothiyal,A., Spinu,V., & Wakker,P.P. (2014b) | An experimental test of prospect theory for predicting choice under ambiguity | View... | |
Kurzenhäuser,S. & Hoffrage,U. (2002) | Teaching Bayesian reasoning: An evaluation of a classroom tutorial for medical students | ||
Marewski,J.N., Gaissmaier,W., Schooler,L.J., Goldstein,D.G., & Gigerenzer,G. (2010) | From recognition to decisions: Extending and testing recognition-based models for multialternative inference | View... | |
Marewski,J.N. & Hoffrage,U. (2013) | Processes models, environmental analyses, and cognitive architectures: Quo vadis quantum probability theory? [Commentary on Pothos and Busemeyer] | View... | |
Marewski,J.N. & Olsson,H. (2009) | Beyond the null ritual: Formal modeling of psychological processes | View... | |
Martignon,L., Katsikopoulos,K.V., & Woike,J.K. (2008) | Categorization with limited resources: A family of simple heuristics | View... | |
Mata,J., Dieckmann,A., & Gigerenzer,G. (2005) | Verständliche Risikokommunikation, leicht gemacht - oder: Wie man verwirrende Wahrscheinlichkeitsangaben vermeidet [Comprehensible risk communication made easy - or: how to avoid confusing probability statements] | View... | |
Mata,R., von Helversen,B., & Rieskamp,J. (2010) | Learning to choose: Cognitive aging and strategy selection learning in decision making | View... | |
Meder,B., Gerstenberg,T., Hagmayer,Y., & Waldmann,M.R. (2010) | Observing and intervening: Rational and heuristic models of causal decision making | View... | |
Meder,B., Mayrhofer,R., & Waldmann,M.R. (2014) | Structure induction in diagnostic causal reasoning | View... | |
Mousavi,S. & Gigerenzer,G. (2014) | Risk, uncertainty and heuristics | View... | |
Nelson,J.D., Divjak,B., Gudmundsdottir,G., Martignon,L., & Meder,B. (2014) | Children's sequential information search is sensitive to environmental probabilities | View... | |
Nelson,J.D., McKenzie,C.R., Cottrell,G.W., & Sejnowski,T.J. (2010) | Experience matters: Information acquisition optimizes probability gain | View... | |
Nilsson,H., Juslin,P., & Olsson,H. (2008) | Exemplars in the mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic | ||
Olsson,H. (2014) | Measuring overconfidence: Methodological problems and statistical artifacts | View... | |
Pachur,T. & Biele,G. (2007) | Forecasting from ignorance: The use and usefulness of recognition in lay predictions of sports events | View... | |
Pachur,T. & Galesic,M. (2013a) | Strategy selection in risky choice: The impact of numeracy, affect, and cross-cultural differences | View... | |
Pachur,T. & Hertwig,R. (2006) | On the psychology of the recognition heuristic: Retrieval primacy as a key determinant of its use | View... | |
Pachur,T., Schooler,L.J., & Stevens,J.R. (2014a) | We'll meet again: Revealing distributional and temporal patterns of social contact | View... | |
Rieskamp,J. (2006a) | Perspectives of probalistic inferences: Reinforcement learning and an adaptive network compared | ||
Sedlmeier,P. & Gigerenzer,G. (2001) | Teaching Bayesian reasoning in less than two hours | View... | |
Todd,P.M., Fiddick,L., & Krauss,S. (2000) | Ecological rationality and its contents: Discussion | ||
von Helversen,B., Schooler,L.J., & Czienskowski,U. (2013) | Are stripes beneficial? Dazzle camouflage influences perceived speed and hit rates | View... | |
Wegwarth,O. (2013b) | Statistical illiteracy in residents: What they do not learn today will hurt their patients tomorrow | View... | |
Wegwarth,O. & Gigerenzer,G. (2007) | Vom Risiko, Risiken zu kommunizieren [About the risk to communicate risk] | ||
Zhu,L. & Gigerenzer,G. (2006) | Children can solve Bayesian problems: The role of representation in mental computation | View... |
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