One-reason decision-making: Modeling violations of expected utility theory (2008)
Authors
Abstract
Abstract People violate expected utility theory and this has been traditionally modeled by augmenting its weight-and-add framework\nby nonlinear transformations of values and probabilities. Yet individuals often use one-reason decision-making when making\ncourt decisions or choosing cellular phones, and institutions do the same when creating rules for traffic safety or fair play\nin sports. We analyze a model of one-reason decision-making, the priority heuristic, and show that it simultaneously implies\ncommon consequence effects, common ratio effects, reflection effects, and the fourfold pattern of risk attitude. The preferences\nrepresented by the priority heuristic satisfy some standard axioms. This work may provide the basis for a new look at bounded\nrationality.
Bibliographic entry
Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Gigerenzer, G. (2008). One-reason decision-making: Modeling violations of expected utility theory. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 37, 35-56.(Reprinted in Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior, pp. 186-200, by G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, & T. Pachur, Eds., 2011, New York: Oxford University Press) (Full text)
Miscellaneous
Publication year | 2008 | |
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Document type: | Article | |
Publication status: | Published | |
External URL: | http://library.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/ft/kk/KK_One_2008.pdf View | |
Categories: | Priority heuristicProbabilitySportsBounded RationalityMemoryExpected Utility | |
Keywords: | decision makingeutevtst. petersburg paradox |